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Safe Stock to Consider in Turbulent Times

A High-Dividend Value Opportunity Linked to India’s Infrastructure Growth

This stock represents a compelling value opportunity in the current market environment. While most infrastructure and mid-cap stocks are trading at elevated valuations, this stock continues to trade at deep value levels despite delivering record profits, maintaining a strong balance sheet, and offering clear long-term growth visibility. For investors seeking a blend of income, capital appreciation, and downside protection, REC Ltd stands out as a high-quality long-term investment.

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Business Overview and Strategic Positioning

Founded in 1969 to support rural electrification, REC has evolved into a Maharatna, AAA-rated NBFC and a central pillar of India’s power and infrastructure financing ecosystem. The company now finances the entire power value chain and has strategically diversified into broader infrastructure segments.

Key financing segments include:

  • Power generation (thermal, hydro, and renewable)
  • Transmission and distribution networks
  • Renewable energy and green energy corridors
  • Infrastructure projects such as roads, metros, ports, and shipping

 

This diversification strengthens REC’s growth profile while reducing concentration risk. Supported by sovereign-equivalent credit strength and a robust risk management framework, REC is well positioned to fund India’s long-term capital expenditure cycle.

Financial Performance and Balance Sheet Strength

REC’s recent performance reflects strong execution, improving asset quality, and disciplined balance sheet management. Key Financial Highlights

Metric (H1 FY26)

Performance

Profit After Tax

₹8,877 crore (↑ 19% YoY)

Net Interest Income Growth

↑ 15% YoY

Loan Book Size

₹5.82 lakh crore

Disbursements

₹1.15 lakh crore (↑ 27% YoY)

Gross NPA

1.06%

Net NPA

0.24%

Provision Coverage Ratio

~77%

Balance sheet quality is supported by:

  • Improved payment discipline from DISCOMs
  • Higher share of secured and project-based lending
  • Conservative provisioning and risk controls

As a result, REC is able to scale its loan book while maintaining financial stability.

Growth Visibility and Future Outlook

REC offers one of the clearest growth roadmaps among financial sector peers. Management has guided towards a ₹10 lakh crore loan book by 2030, with a strong emphasis on renewable energy financing. Key growth drivers include:

  • Rapid growth in power demand across industrial, urban, and digital infrastructure
  • Large-scale renewable capacity additions and energy storage investments
  • Expansion of transmission networks and grid modernization
  • Infrastructure diversification into roads, metros, ports, and shipping

With a sanctioned pipeline of ₹2.5 lakh crore and strong disbursement momentum, the company is well placed to deliver on its long-term targets.

rec ltd
Valuation, Dividends, and the Investment Rationale

REC presents a rare combination of deep value (post recent correction) , stable income, and visible growth. Investment highlights to consider :

  • Valuation of ~5.5x earnings and near book value and < 0.4 PEG ratio
  • Dividend yield of approximately 5%, providing income support
  • Earnings growth potential of 10–12% CAGR over the medium term
  • Government backing that strengthens funding access and downside protection

While risks such as interest rate movements, execution challenges, and sector cyclicality remain, these factors are well understood and largely reflected in current valuations.

Technical Performance of the stock

Post euphoria in the stock, the stock has corrected significantly, and is trading close to major support levels now. For REC Ltd, – fundamentals and technicals are also aligning here !

rec ltd
Conclusion and Recommendation

REC Ltd is uniquely positioned at the intersection of India’s energy security, renewable transition, and infrastructure expansion. The company has moved beyond historical asset quality concerns and is now delivering consistent profits, strong cash flows, and a clearly articulated growth strategy. For long-term investors, REC offers:

  • Attractive and sustainable dividend income
  • Predictable earnings growth
  • A strong margin of safety due to low valuation

Given the favourable risk-reward profile, consider adding REC in portfolio at CMP also seems suitable for investors seeking long-term exposure to India’s infrastructure-led growth with stable income characteristics.

Disclaimer: This article is for information purpose only. It is NOT a stock recommendation and should not be treated as such. Please consult your financial advisor before investing. Investing in securities market is subject to market risks. Please read full disclosures here.

Source: nseindia (financial reports and announcements), tradingview

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